Monday, May 6, 2013
Thursday, April 18, 2013
Apple Drops Below $400 for First Time Since Dec. 2011
Wall Street expects the stock to keep tanking with no end in sight unless the tech giant can innovate and drag itself out of the mess.
Saturday, February 9, 2013
Sprint Nextel (S):Fundamentals not great at all
I wanted to start with large cap tech stocks as I cover the tech stock,. anyway. The Sprint Nextel (S) earnings report was out three days ago
and I thought I'd do a bit of equity research on that. I know what your thinking: Where is the Apple equity research post that I promised. Well, I am here to tell you that it will come soon. Now lets look at a stock that is great candidate for shorting.
Price Action:
Sprint Nextel 10-Year Price Action
Source: DailyFinance
Sprint Nextel is up a 140% and why do I say to short the stock. Just take a look above at how the stock has been doing over the last 10 years.
Income Statement:
Here are the last five years income statement stats to note. The stock price going up this year must be due to the revenue rising persistently every quarter. However, the revenues are nowhere near the $40.1B revenue generated in 2007.
The
negative net income and EPS numbers must be noted here for Sprint bears.
|
Income
Statement
|
||||||
|
Quarter
|
Sales
|
Growth
|
Net Income
|
Growth
|
EPS
|
Growth
|
|
2012 Q4
|
$9005
|
2.76%
|
-$1321
|
-72.23%
|
-$0.44
|
-69.23%
|
|
2012 Q3
|
$8763
|
-0.90%
|
-$767
|
44.18%
|
-$0.26
|
43.48%
|
|
2012 Q2
|
$8843
|
1.25%
|
-$1374
|
58.86%
|
-$0.46
|
-58.62%
|
|
2012 Q1
|
$8734
|
0.14%
|
-$863
|
33.77%
|
-$0.29
|
32.56%
|
|
Year
|
Sales
|
Growth
|
Net Income
|
Growth
|
EPS
|
Growth
|
|
2012
|
$35340
|
4.93%
|
-$4325
|
-49.65%
|
-$1.44
|
-50.00%
|
|
2011
|
$33680
|
3.44%
|
-$2890
|
16.60%
|
-$0.96
|
17.24%
|
|
2010
|
$32560
|
0.93%
|
-$3465
|
-42.24%
|
-$1.16
|
38.10%
|
|
2009
|
$32260
|
-9.48%
|
-$2436
|
12.88%
|
-$0.84
|
14.29%
|
|
2008
|
$35640
|
-11.12%
|
-$2796
|
90.62%
|
-$0.98
|
-51.24%
|
Note: All
values in the tables are in Millions of USD (except for per share items)
Balance Sheet:
Sprint's balance sheet doesn't look to good either in the table below.
The cash column is the only encouraging sign with it growing over the period shown as opposed to the others like equity that has declined on average 15.3%.
Relative to industry stalwarts such as AT&T (T) and Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), Sprint lags behind.
|
Balance
Sheet
|
|||||||||||
|
Year
|
Current Assets
|
Total Assets
|
Intangibles
|
Current Liabilities
|
Total Liabilities
|
Cash
|
Growth
|
Equity
|
Growth
|
Shares
|
Growth
|
|
2012 Q4
|
$13760
|
$51570
|
$22370
|
$8874
|
$44480
|
$8200
|
29.56%
|
$7087
|
-16.61%
|
3000
|
-0.10%
|
|
2012 Q3
|
$11610
|
$48970
|
$22390
|
$7947
|
$40470
|
$6329
|
-6.40%
|
$8499
|
-7.89%
|
3003
|
0.13%
|
|
2012 Q2
|
$11600
|
$49020
|
$22420
|
$7363
|
$39800
|
$6762
|
-10.70%
|
$9227
|
-12.87%
|
2999
|
0.07%
|
|
2012 Q1
|
$12220
|
$50620
|
$22400
|
$6439
|
$40030
|
$7572
|
35.29%
|
$10590
|
-7.35%
|
2997
|
0.03%
|
|
2011
|
$10340
|
$49380
|
$22430
|
$6499
|
$37960
|
$5597
|
2.27%
|
$11430
|
-21.44%
|
2996
|
0.27%
|
|
2010
|
$9880
|
$51650
|
$22700
|
$7891
|
$37110
|
$5473
|
39.48%
|
$14550
|
-19.61%
|
2988
|
0.50%
|
|
2009
|
$8593
|
$55420
|
$23460
|
$6785
|
$37330
|
$3924
|
5.51%
|
$18100
|
-9.14%
|
2973
|
4.06%
|
Note: All values in the
table are in Millions
Bottomline:
Value investors are so not going to love this telecommunications stock.
Tuesday, February 5, 2013
XOM NAV
I was busy doing an NAV analysis on Exxon Mobil (XOM) and it turned out that the stock is actually overvalued. The NAV per share is $65 if we take conservative growth rates.
Download
(XOM-NAV-Conservative Analysis - Google Docs)
Download
(XOM-NAV-Conservative Analysis - Google Docs)
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
The Life of an Investment Banker
It's been awhile. I have some regrets that I didn't kick off
this blog talking about the investment banker lifestyle.
If you wondered why you haven't heard from me lately, it was
because I was getting more awesome.
This is me at a hotel room in Las
Vegas taking Christmas Break early. That is what is called contrarian
investing; I will be working my butt of during Christmas week. But then again,
how can I call what I do work. I live, breathe and eat it. It gives me
endorphins I could almost swear.
More on that pic of me: Did you notice how subtly I was showing off why I am such a good investment banker. There is of course the must have shades and then iPhone 4s to show everyone how tech savvy I am. Not to mention the fact that I was taking this pic while deciding which tie to wear.
I finally decided on the $100 Saks Fifth Avenue tie you see in that pic. No, I am not going to be wearing my Lacoste Sport Tee which I usually wear for a round of golf, etc. There is more to the pic - notice my $700 22k gold ring with a diamond stud too.
That's investment banking in a nutshell for you. There is the good side and then the not so good side.
For now, Nevada beckons. I love Las Vegas. Great lights and
great women! What more could you ask for?
Monday, March 19, 2012
Microsoft Excel Again
From the many job postings that I have been looking at it seems that employers would like an applicant to be proficient in VLookup functions, formulas, macros and pivot tables and pivot charts. It seems like that this is not a big task to master these things, but there have been whole books about 300 pages long written about pivot tables that you might find interesting to know.
As for macros and VBA, it is always going to be rather the challenging. Having dappled with the issue myself, I think the best advice is to look to reference the code you need to build the different models in Excel or the different tasks that you might need to do and keep looking back at this reference. Trying to memorize or otherwise learning the macros and VBA is really futile. We all have better things to do!!
Again, it's like what I have said meeting someone you know and like and who likes you also will go a long way in helping you and your investment banking career compared to mastering a technical skill.
As for macros and VBA, it is always going to be rather the challenging. Having dappled with the issue myself, I think the best advice is to look to reference the code you need to build the different models in Excel or the different tasks that you might need to do and keep looking back at this reference. Trying to memorize or otherwise learning the macros and VBA is really futile. We all have better things to do!!
Again, it's like what I have said meeting someone you know and like and who likes you also will go a long way in helping you and your investment banking career compared to mastering a technical skill.
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